Without evidence of benefit, an intervention should not be presumed to be beneficial or safe.

- Rogue Medic

What to Look for in Today’s Pfizer/BioNTech FDA Advisory Committee Meeting

The 9 AM December 10 meeting is available by video conference at this link. Since we are seeing record rates of infection, there should be a lot more cases of infection, with the same difference in numbers between the placebo group and the vaccine candidate group. There are two important questions.

We may not be be able to answer either one, yet. How long does the vaccine candidate protect recipients. We know there are cases of people developing COVID-19 after recovering from an earlier case. Since there are no coronaviruses that have provided long term immunity, how often will we need to get vaccinated? Every six months? Every year? Every other year?

Usually, reinfection results in a less serious infection, but there is already evidence that this may not be the case with COVID-19.

The patient had two positive tests for SARS-CoV-2, the first on April 18, 2020, and the second on June 5, 2020, separated by two negative tests done during follow-up in May, 2020. Genomic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 showed genetically significant differences between each variant associated with each instance of infection. The second infection was symptomatically more severe than the first.

Genomic evidence for reinfection with SARS-CoV-2: a case study

He was reinfected two months later and the second infection was more severe.

The other important thing that we may not be able to know depends on the amount of information obtained by the study. Did the study require tracking of the close contacts of the participants to see if there is a difference in infection rate?

If there is no difference, that means the vaccine candidate does not prevent transmission, even though it prevents the vaccinated people from becoming noticeably sick. This would still be an effective vaccine, but would require a higher rate of vaccination to control the pandemic.

The higher the rate of vaccination needed, the more likely it is that the anti-vaxers will keep the pandemic from being stopped for years, if not forever. Anti-vaxers have prevented the eradication of polio, so we have to continue to vaccinate our children against polio. Successful vaccines put themselves out of business. Anti-vaxers require vaccination for ever.

Fortunately, anti-vaxers failed to protect smallpox, so we no longer have to vaccinate children against smallpox.

Vaccines are probably the safest and most effective medical intervention available, but anti-vaxers oppose that.

Vaccines save millions of lives every year – mostly the lives of children – but anti-vaxers oppose that.

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